MIN 116-104 PHX, March 17, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat PHX 116-104, but PHX's shots were worth 135.5 points to MIN's 118.6.

MIN 116-104 PHX, March 17, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	84	95	96.4	21/29	22.2	116	118.6
PHX	97	87	117.1	17/23	18.4	104	135.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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