MIL 116-123 CLE, March 17, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat MIL 123-116, and CLE's shots were worth 127.4 points to MIL's 107.0.

MIL 116-123 CLE, March 17, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	88	104	93.4	12/17	13.6	116	107.0
CLE	86	96	99.3	27/34	28.1	123	127.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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