HOU 92-100 LAL, March 16, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAL beat HOU 100-92, and LAL's shots were worth 105.8 points to HOU's 99.2.

HOU 92-100 LAL, March 16, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	79	81	88.0	11/15	11.2	92	99.2
LAL	84	82	88.6	18/22	17.1	100	105.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.