BOS 120-112 PHX, March 16, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat PHX 120-112, but PHX's shots were worth 109.5 points to BOS's 107.5.

BOS 120-112 PHX, March 16, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	80	95	85.9	25/27	21.5	120	107.5
PHX	83	87	86.1	25/29	23.4	112	109.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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