BKN 95-114 POR, March 16, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. POR beat BKN 114-95, but BKN's shots were worth 120.6 points to POR's 115.6.

BKN 95-114 POR, March 16, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BKN	86	75	98.0	20/29	22.6	95	120.6
POR	80	93	93.4	21/29	22.2	114	115.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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