No. ATL beat ORL 124-112, but ORL's shots were worth 126.7 points to ATL's 125.9.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 93 | 102 | 103.4 | 22/29 | 22.5 | 124 | 125.9 |
| ORL | 95 | 94 | 108.6 | 18/23 | 18.1 | 112 | 126.7 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.