MIL 134-123 IND, March 15, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat IND 134-123, and MIL's shots were worth 115.8 points to IND's 107.8.

MIL 134-123 IND, March 15, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIL90121102.613/1913.2134115.8
IND8110589.618/2318.3123107.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.