LAC 109-118 SAC, March 14, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat LAC 118-109, but LAC's shots were worth 116.4 points to SAC's 99.8.

LAC 109-118 SAC, March 14, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAC848792.422/2924.0109116.4
SAC8210887.610/1612.211899.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.