POR 124-114 UTA, March 13, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat UTA 124-114, and POR's shots were worth 115.3 points to UTA's 114.8.

POR 124-114 UTA, March 13, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	89	109	103.0	15/16	12.3	124	115.3
UTA	92	97	98.2	17/22	16.5	114	114.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.