DAL 105-138 CLE, March 13, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat DAL 138-105, and CLE's shots were worth 111.9 points to DAL's 111.4.

DAL 105-138 CLE, March 13, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DAL878592.520/2418.9105111.4
CLE91130102.58/139.4138111.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.