SAS 131-136 DEN, March 12, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat SAS 136-131, and DEN's shots were worth 127.0 points to SAS's 126.3.

SAS 131-136 DEN, March 12, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	95	105	101.7	26/32	24.7	131	126.3
DEN	88	100	95.2	36/38	31.7	136	127.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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