MIA 112-105 MIL, March 12, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat MIL 112-105, and MIA's shots were worth 120.3 points to MIL's 104.9.

MIA 112-105 MIL, March 12, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	92	90	99.2	22/27	21.2	112	120.3
MIL	83	91	91.4	14/19	13.4	105	104.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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