ORL 136-131 WAS, March 12, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat WAS 136-131, and ORL's shots were worth 139.1 points to WAS's 128.9.

ORL 136-131 WAS, March 12, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	100	109	111.2	27/34	27.8	136	139.1
WAS	105	110	110.7	21/24	18.3	131	128.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.