IND 108-123 PHX, March 12, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat IND 123-108, but IND's shots were worth 111.0 points to PHX's 109.0.

IND 108-123 PHX, March 12, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
IND828691.222/2519.8108111.0
PHX8810592.018/2217.0123109.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.