NOP 122-111 TOR, March 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. NOP beat TOR 122-111, but TOR's shots were worth 120.6 points to NOP's 116.7.

NOP 122-111 TOR, March 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	88	104	97.7	18/24	19.0	122	116.7
TOR	94	92	101.6	19/25	19.1	111	120.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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