ORL 128-122 CLE, March 11, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat CLE 128-122, and ORL's shots were worth 122.2 points to CLE's 115.0.

ORL 128-122 CLE, March 11, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	85	100	91.6	28/37	30.6	128	122.2
CLE	89	105	95.1	17/26	19.9	122	115.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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