HOU 113-99 TOR, March 10, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. HOU beat TOR 113-99, but TOR's shots were worth 107.5 points to HOU's 107.0.

HOU 113-99 TOR, March 10, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	82	92	86.3	21/27	20.7	113	107.0
TOR	78	77	85.4	22/28	22.1	99	107.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.