UTA 119-116 GSW, March 9, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. UTA beat GSW 119-116, but GSW's shots were worth 118.7 points to UTA's 107.5.

UTA 119-116 GSW, March 9, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UTA	83	92	84.9	27/29	22.6	119	107.5
GSW	99	102	102.3	14/21	16.4	116	118.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.