OKC 129-126 DEN, March 9, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. OKC beat DEN 129-126, but DEN's shots were worth 127.7 points to OKC's 117.4.

OKC 129-126 DEN, March 9, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	93	113	100.4	16/21	17.0	129	117.4
DEN	98	105	104.4	21/29	23.3	126	127.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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