SAS 145-120 HOU, March 8, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat HOU 145-120, and SAS's shots were worth 123.1 points to HOU's 118.6.

SAS 145-120 HOU, March 8, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAS88123101.822/2721.3145123.1
HOU879293.028/3225.6120118.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.