OKC 104-97 GSW, March 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. OKC beat GSW 104-97, but GSW's shots were worth 112.8 points to OKC's 106.0.

OKC 104-97 GSW, March 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	78	81	85.5	23/24	20.5	104	106.0
GSW	88	86	98.8	11/18	14.1	97	112.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.