MIL 113-99 UTA, March 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat UTA 113-99, but UTA's shots were worth 123.0 points to MIL's 121.8.

MIL 113-99 UTA, March 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	85	97	102.0	16/28	19.8	113	121.8
UTA	90	74	99.5	25/29	23.5	99	123.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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