ATL 125-116 PHI, March 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat PHI 125-116, and ATL's shots were worth 119.0 points to PHI's 117.3.

ATL 125-116 PHI, March 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	83	105	99.4	20/25	19.6	125	119.0
PHI	86	104	102.7	12/18	14.6	116	117.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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