MIN 92-119 ORL, March 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat MIN 119-92, and ORL's shots were worth 125.4 points to MIN's 114.3.

MIN 92-119 ORL, March 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	84	69	90.5	23/31	23.8	92	114.3
ORL	91	93	99.9	26/31	25.5	119	125.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.