No. LAL beat IND 128-117, but IND's shots were worth 125.3 points to LAL's 107.0.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAL | 85 | 107 | 88.9 | 21/23 | 18.1 | 128 | 107.0 |
| IND | 98 | 100 | 107.0 | 17/24 | 18.4 | 117 | 125.3 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.