No. PHX beat NOP 118-116, but NOP's shots were worth 130.8 points to PHX's 124.2.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 90 | 100 | 104.9 | 18/26 | 19.3 | 118 | 124.2 |
| NOP | 83 | 84 | 101.2 | 32/37 | 29.7 | 116 | 130.8 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.