HOU 106-99 POR, March 6, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. HOU beat POR 106-99, but POR's shots were worth 118.0 points to HOU's 102.2.

HOU 106-99 POR, March 6, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	76	87	82.4	19/26	19.8	106	102.2
POR	83	78	90.4	21/37	27.6	99	118.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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