SAC 123-133 NOP, March 5, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NOP beat SAC 133-123, and NOP's shots were worth 120.5 points to SAC's 116.4.

SAC 123-133 NOP, March 5, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	99	108	99.5	15/23	16.9	123	116.4
NOP	98	110	99.1	23/27	21.4	133	120.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.