PHX 103-105 CHI, March 5, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. CHI beat PHX 105-103, but PHX's shots were worth 116.9 points to CHI's 111.1.

PHX 103-105 CHI, March 5, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHX928595.418/2721.5103116.9
CHI868991.916/2519.2105111.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.