MIN 115-107 TOR, March 5, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat TOR 115-107, and MIN's shots were worth 107.1 points to TOR's 106.5.

MIN 115-107 TOR, March 5, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIN819790.418/2316.7115107.1
TOR839187.616/2418.8107106.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.