MIL 113-131 ATL, March 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat MIL 131-113, and ATL's shots were worth 114.8 points to MIL's 109.6.

MIL 113-131 ATL, March 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	86	99	94.9	14/20	14.7	113	109.6
ATL	92	120	102.4	11/16	12.4	131	114.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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