PHI 106-102 UTA, March 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHI beat UTA 106-102, and PHI's shots were worth 119.2 points to UTA's 111.6.

PHI 106-102 UTA, March 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHI8889102.217/2117.0106119.2
UTA888496.718/1914.9102111.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.