TOR 95-111 NYK, March 3, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NYK beat TOR 111-95, and NYK's shots were worth 101.0 points to TOR's 98.3.

TOR 95-111 NYK, March 3, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
TOR777883.417/1915.09598.3
NYK8110291.39/129.7111101.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.