UTA 125-128 DEN, March 2, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat UTA 128-125, and DEN's shots were worth 108.1 points to UTA's 106.8.

UTA 125-128 DEN, March 2, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UTA	86	103	86.3	22/26	20.5	125	106.8
DEN	74	96	79.1	32/35	29.0	128	108.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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