ORL 92-106 DET, March 1, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DET beat ORL 106-92, and DET's shots were worth 117.6 points to ORL's 108.7.

ORL 92-106 DET, March 1, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	77	68	84.6	24/30	24.1	92	108.7
DET	93	88	99.3	18/24	18.3	106	117.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.