ATL 135-101 POR, March 1, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat POR 135-101, but POR's shots were worth 125.1 points to ATL's 123.7.

ATL 135-101 POR, March 1, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ATL92117105.818/2317.9135123.7
POR8783105.518/2619.6101125.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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