No. ATL beat POR 135-101, but POR's shots were worth 125.1 points to ATL's 123.7.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 92 | 117 | 105.8 | 18/23 | 17.9 | 135 | 123.7 |
| POR | 87 | 83 | 105.5 | 18/26 | 19.6 | 101 | 125.1 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.