DEN 108-117 MIN, March 1, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat DEN 117-108, but DEN's shots were worth 108.8 points to MIN's 99.9.

DEN 108-117 MIN, March 1, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	85	88	86.6	20/27	22.2	108	108.8
MIN	85	106	85.5	11/19	14.5	117	99.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.