UTA 105-115 NOP, February 28, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. NOP beat UTA 115-105, but UTA's shots were worth 125.4 points to NOP's 111.6.

UTA 105-115 NOP, February 28, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
UTA967899.327/3326.1105125.4
NOP859389.022/2922.6115111.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.