DAL 105-124 MEM, February 27, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat DAL 124-105, but DAL's shots were worth 121.4 points to MEM's 115.6.

DAL 105-124 MEM, February 27, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DAL888396.522/3324.9105121.4
MEM9310698.418/2117.2124115.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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