CHI 112-121 POR, February 26, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat CHI 121-112, and POR's shots were worth 139.4 points to CHI's 121.5.

CHI 112-121 POR, February 26, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHI808998.623/3023.0112121.5
POR9594115.927/3123.5121139.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.