IND 109-133 CHA, February 26, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. CHA beat IND 133-109, but IND's shots were worth 109.8 points to CHA's 106.5.

IND 109-133 CHA, February 26, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
IND879393.416/2016.3109109.8
CHA8611890.615/1915.9133106.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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