MIL 118-116 CLE, February 25, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat CLE 118-116, but CLE's shots were worth 117.4 points to MIL's 103.0.

MIL 118-116 CLE, February 25, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	88	115	99.4	3/5	3.6	118	103.0
CLE	87	96	96.5	20/27	20.9	116	117.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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