HOU 128-97 SAC, February 25, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. HOU beat SAC 128-97, but SAC's shots were worth 112.5 points to HOU's 104.7.

HOU 128-97 SAC, February 25, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	86	111	90.6	17/19	14.0	128	104.7
SAC	93	81	96.4	16/20	16.1	97	112.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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