POR 121-124 MIN, February 24, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat POR 124-121, but POR's shots were worth 121.5 points to MIN's 113.6.

POR 121-124 MIN, February 24, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	89	98	97.8	23/30	23.7	121	121.5
MIN	88	111	98.8	13/19	14.8	124	113.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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