NOP 113-109 GSW, February 24, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NOP beat GSW 113-109, and NOP's shots were worth 133.4 points to GSW's 129.4.

NOP 113-109 GSW, February 24, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NOP10196115.417/2318.0113133.4
GSW9791111.118/2318.2109129.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.