MIL 128-117 MIA, February 24, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat MIA 128-117, and MIL's shots were worth 123.0 points to MIA's 122.9.

MIL 128-117 MIA, February 24, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIL97112107.516/1915.4128123.0
MIA9496101.221/2721.7117122.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.