Neither side had the better shots. ORL beat LAC 111-109, and the shots on each side were worth 110.9.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 83 | 85 | 87.7 | 24/28 | 23.2 | 109 | 110.9 |
| ORL | 83 | 88 | 85.4 | 23/31 | 25.4 | 111 | 110.9 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.