IND 130-134 DAL, February 22, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DAL beat IND 134-130, and DAL's shots were worth 122.7 points to IND's 115.1.

IND 130-134 DAL, February 22, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	94	114	99.7	16/20	15.3	130	115.1
DAL	94	113	98.8	21/32	23.9	134	122.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.