OKC 121-113 CLE, February 22, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat CLE 121-113, and OKC's shots were worth 116.6 points to CLE's 109.0.

OKC 121-113 CLE, February 22, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
OKC8610597.016/2519.6121116.6
CLE899994.314/1914.7113109.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.