No. NOP beat PHI 126-111, but PHI's shots were worth 129.6 points to NOP's 124.3.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOP | 81 | 97 | 95.0 | 29/38 | 29.4 | 126 | 124.3 |
| PHI | 94 | 84 | 103.4 | 27/33 | 26.2 | 111 | 129.6 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
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